But a couple of observations in no particular order:
- These are watches that never should have seen auction. There was never an “auction market” for a 323 or 372. Seller should have sold them to the dealer.
- Results tends have been weak all season, but in pockets. Take a look at some Lange results over the last several months, or DeBethune. Perhaps weak is not the right description, maybe more so those watches are finding their true levels after several years of inflated results.
- On the contrary we are still seeing some surprisingly strong results, take a look at Journe from the recent HK auctions. Some really crazy and nonsensical results (run of the mill Centigraphe HKD2.6m, even the Vagabondage II (a watch I own and love) HKD2.2m).
- Auctions are always unpredictable, it only takes two bidders to get to these levels for the Journes, or in the case of the Panerai, Lange, DeBethune only one bidder.
- I do think large in your face watches are being avoided in many places these days. That will impact AP, Panerai etc. Regarding AP Offshores, I do think that market has long been weak.
No question the market overall is wreaking. For US$50K you could have bought yourself any one of four Patek Rare Handcrafts Birds of Paradise (cloisonné enamel) or a JLC Master Grande Tradition A Repetition Minutes.
Buyers be ready.